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Research Program

TMRI investigates correlations between space weather phenomena and disruptions to financial markets, power infrastructure, and public health outcomes. All findings undergo walk-forward validation on unseen data prior to publication. Our research program also encompasses exploratory theoretical work on complex system behavior under stress.

Research Philosophy

Latest PublicationFeb 11 2026Open Access

Solar Energy Transfer Dynamics and Energy Commodity Volatility

Empirical evidence that PDI velocity features (SOLI, AISI) correlate with extreme energy commodity price movements 7 to 8 trading days in advance. Walk-forward validated across 20 years spanning solar cycles 23 through 25. Provides the scientific foundation for applied volatility classification systems.

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Space Weather and Planetary Dynamics

Empirical analysis of correlations between space weather events (solar activity, geomagnetic disturbances, cosmic ray flux) and measurable changes in financial markets, public health outcomes, and infrastructure performance.

Dec 18 2025

Cascading Space Weather Risks and Community Resilience

Analysis of multi-domain impacts, infrastructure vulnerabilities, and the path to equitable resilience in the face of geomagnetic disturbances. Focuses on disproportionate impacts on vulnerable communities.

Dec 12 2025

Planetary Dynamics and Forbush Decreases: Long-Lead Environmental Regimes in Space Weather

Research on whether the Planetary Dynamics Index (PDI) can identify environmental conditions associated with Forbush Decrease events days to weeks before conventional detection methods. Explores heliospheric preconditioning and background vulnerability states.

May 2025 • Updated Jan 2026

Magnetic-Cognitive Coupling: Earth's Space Weather and Human Systems

Presents evidence that geomagnetic variability correlates with measurable changes in cognition and collective behavior, introducing the Planetary Dynamics Index (PDI). Focuses on public health, infrastructure reliability, and societal resilience.

Systems Theory Exploratory

Exploratory theoretical work on how complex systems evolve and behave under stress. This track is early-stage and kept clearly separate from our validated space-weather findings.

Aug 3 2025

Number Recursion Theory: A Unified Mathematical Framework for Complex System Evolution

A unified mathematical framework proposing that complex systems evolve through predictable recursive stages. Integrates the core NRT model, its base-12 extension enabling complete recursion cycles, and observer-collapsing logic for resolving self-referential analysis limits.

Interested in this research?

TMRI welcomes inquiries from researchers and institutions interested in collaboration, data access, or independent validation of our methodology.

research@mindforgeinstitute.org